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What do you understand by computational statistics? What is the importance of computational statistics? What is the history behind computational statistics? What are core methods in computational statistics? 1. Monte Carlo Simulation 2. Resampling Methods 3. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) 4. The EM Algorithm 5. Optimisation 6. Random Number Generation What are the popular tools and languages that operate under computational statistics? What skills do you need to develop in computational statistics? Conclusion:The world is full of numbers. The sales that shops count, the reports that doctors track, and the steps that your phone records are all based on numbers. But these numbers need to be analysed to get answers, which is where statistics comes into the picture. When these numbers are huge, or the calculation is quite difficult, computational statistics helps out. Computational statistics refers to the process of using computers and smart methods to solve statistical problems.
This article will act as a guide that will explain the basics of computational statistics in easy and understandable language. You will understand what it means, which methods it uses, popular tools and languages used in it, and the skills that will develop. Every part of this article is short, crisp, and targets important factors so that you can remember them easily.
What do you understand by computational statistics?
It is important that you start with the basics of computational statistics before you start anything deep. Statistics is the scientific idea behind gathering, analysing, and presenting data, and computational statistics is the part of statistics that uses computers to perform this work.
To make it simpler, understand it like this. Classic statistics usually uses formulas that are drafted on paper. These formulas work well with problems that are clean and small. But real and practical datasets are more unorganised. The data can be huge, oddly shaped, or full of unnecessary gaps. These problems do not work with clean formulas. In these situations, you ask a computer to try various calculations in a continuous process until you receive an appropriate answer.
So, computational statistics is performed with the help of algorithms, code, and fast-paced machines.
The following are the important ideas that you should keep in mind:
- Computational statistics uses computers to perform the heavy maths.
- It creates and tests methods that basically operate on real and unorganised data.
- When the dataset has no straight formula, computational statistics helps in analysing it.
- It is included in the broader fields of statistics and data analytics.
What is the importance of computational statistics?
You must be wondering why people bother to study and read about computational statistics. Well, modern data problems are difficult, and the data sets are huge. Computational statistics handles the huge amount of data sets easily.
The following are the core important facts about why computational statistics is important:
- It solves problems that do not have an easy formula and are too complicated to be solved by humans.
- Computers can easily process millions of rows way faster than a person could. It helps in handling huge data sets better.
- It helps you test your idea or run a simulation safely before investing money in a real test.
- It reflects real uncertainty instead of just telling the answer. It tells you how much you must trust the answer.
- It makes work predictable and repeatable. Any code can easily be run again by anyone, which allows others to check your results also.
What is the history behind computational statistics?
Every technology has its history behind it. The ideas behind computational statistics are way older than people realise.
The following are step-by-step historical facts related to computational statistics:
- 1940s: There were a bunch of scientists working on the Manhattan Project at Los Alamos, which included names like Stanislaw Ulam, John von Neumann, and Nicholas Metropolis. They developed the Monte Carlo method. This method basically uses random numbers to solve problems that are difficult to solve directly.
- 1953: In 1953, Metropolis and his entire team published an algorithm that eventually became the basis for the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).
- 1977: Another 3 scientists, Arthur Dempster, Nan Laird, and Donald Rubin, defined the EM algorithm. It is a method that is used for finding good predictions when some of the data is missing or hidden.
- 1979: 1979 was the year when Bradley Efron introduced the bootstrap.
- 1990s: Ross Ihaka and Robert Gentleman created the R programming language at the University of Auckland. It spread among statisticians and provided them with a free tool for statistical computing.
What are core methods in computational statistics?
Computational statistics follows some specific methods to solve problems with huge datasets.
The following are some of the core methods that computational statistics operates on:
1. Monte Carlo Simulation
Monte Carlo simulation is a method that basically uses random numbers to perform a process again and again. For example, using Monte Carlo simulation, you can estimate the chance of rolling a total of 8 with 2 dice by “rolling” them on a computer 10,000 times and counting. The more rolls you run, the closer you get to receiving the accurate answer. The same idea works pretty well for even harder problems, like risk in a project or the particle.
2. Resampling Methods
Resampling refers to the process of taking samples from the data that you already have.
The following are the 2 most famous types of resampling methods:
- Bootstrap: In the bootstrap method, you are supposed to draw samples with replacement to see how much an estimated amount can vary.
- Cross-validation: In the cross-validation method, you basically split the data into parts, train a model on some of its parts, and test it on the rest of the parts. This basically helps in checking whether a model is able to work on new data or not.
3. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
MCMC refers to the way of drawing these samples from a complicated probability distribution. It develops a chain of certain values, where each value is dependent only on the one lying before it. After enough steps are done, the values behave like samples from the target distribution. The MCMC method is very popular in Bayesian inference, where you are supposed to update your beliefs using data.
4. The EM Algorithm
EM refers to expectation maximisation. It basically operates in 2 repeating steps. Initially, it guesses the missing or hidden parts of the data. In the next step, it updates the model to fit those guesses. It repeats the process until the answer stops showing shifts or changes.
5. Optimisation
Most statistical tasks are performed to find the best value for something. For example, maximum likelihood estimation intends to find the setting that makes the data most likely. Computers use optimisation methods, like gradient descent and Newton’s method, to look for that best point step by step.
6. Random Number Generation
The random numbers that these methods work on are not produced randomly by computers themselves. They basically use rules that make the numbers look random. These are called pseudo-random numbers. It is important to have good generators, as bad generators can end up giving wrong results in a simulation.
What are the popular tools and languages that operate under computational statistics?
Once you understand what computational statistics is, the next question arises: which tools should you use?
The following are the tools and programming languages used in computational statistics:
- R: R is an open programming language created for the purpose of performing statistics.
- Python: Python is the most common and popular programming language. It is considered to be the most beginner-friendly programming language. It has helpful libraries for numbers and data, like NumPy, SciPy, pandas, and statsmodels.
- Stan: Stan is a tool that is used for Bayesian modelling. It takes advanced sampling methods into use.
What skills do you need to develop in computational statistics?
To begin your journey with computational statistics, you do not need to have a huge skill set or need to be a genius.
The following are the basic skills that you need to develop:
- Basic statistics: The most common statistical terms are mean, spread, probability, and sampling. Knowing these terms is enough, and you do not need to be a statistical mastermind.
- Basic Maths: The core knowledge about algebra, calculus, and a blend of a little bit of matrix maths is enough to start in computational statistics.
- Coding: Computational statistics has the work of computing in it; that simply means using computers, which is why coding becomes an important skill for it. You should at least learn 1 programming language, like R or Python.
You can also read about What Is a PhD in Computational Statistics in detail here.
Conclusion:
Let’s summarise the main points. Statistics lets us learn from data. When the maths is hard, or the data is large, computers do the repeated work. The name of the game is teamwork. Techniques such as Monte Carlo simulation, bootstrap, MCMC, EM algorithm, and optimisation give us ways to answer questions that cannot be answered using formulas alone.
If you were wondering what is computational science, now you have a clear answer. It is the use of computers and algorithms to solve statistical problems, especially the hard and large ones. It matters in medicine, finance, weather, genetics, engineering, and many other fields. And it’s simple to start. Learn a little statistics, take your pick of R or Python, and try a small simulation today. Each small project will help you grow your skills and confidence.
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